MARKET REPORT Q3/2024

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the Lagos Algarve real estate market for the third quarter of 2024, drawing on the latest data from reliable sources such as Confidencial Imobiliario, Instituto Nacional de Estatistica (INE), APEMIP, and Idealista.

Market Overview

The Lagos property market in Q3 2024 displayed continued stability with moderate growth, reflecting a gradual recovery from the adjustments of the previous year. While some lingering effects of the “Mais Habitação” plan are still being felt, the market is showing resilience and adaptability.

Key Trends:

  • Steady Price Growth: Average property prices in Lagos increased by approximately 2% in Q3 2024 compared to the same period last year. This moderate growth is indicative of a healthy and sustainable market.
  • Increased Transaction Volume: The number of property transactions in Lagos rose by roughly 8% in Q3 compared to Q3 2023. This suggests growing confidence among buyers and sellers.
  • Strong Demand for Prime Properties: Demand for high-quality properties in prime locations, such as those with sea views or close to amenities, remained strong throughout Q3. This segment of the market continues to experience high competition and premium pricing.
  • Shifting Buyer Demographics: While international buyers remain a significant presence, there’s a notable increase in domestic buyers and those seeking long-term rentals. This contributes to the market’s stability and reduces reliance on foreign investment.

Supply and Demand Dynamics

  • Limited Supply: The availability of properties in Lagos, particularly in desirable areas, remained limited in Q3 2024. This is partly due to the slowdown in construction activity experienced in previous quarters.
  • High Demand: Despite the limited supply, demand for properties in Lagos remained robust. This is driven by factors such as the region’s attractive lifestyle, strong tourism sector, and the appeal of Lagos as a second-home destination.
  • Rental Market: The rental market in Lagos continues to be strong, with high demand and increasing rental prices. This presents an attractive opportunity for investors seeking rental income.

Outlook for the Rest of 2024

The Lagos real estate market is expected to maintain its positive trajectory for the remainder of 2024.

Factors supporting this outlook include:

  • Stable Interest Rates: The European Central Bank’s decision to maintain interest rates provides stability and predictability for the market.
  • Potential Policy Adjustments: The ongoing review of the “Mais Habitação” plan could lead to a more balanced regulatory framework, further boosting market confidence.
  • Tourism Growth: The Algarve’s tourism sector is expected to continue its strong performance, supporting the demand for both residential and rental properties.

Challenges:

  • Inflation and Economic Uncertainty: Global economic conditions and inflationary pressures may impact affordability and buyer sentiment.
  • Construction Costs: Rising construction costs could limit the supply of new properties and put upward pressure on prices.

Conclusion

The Lagos Algarve real estate market is demonstrating resilience and steady growth in Q3 2024. While challenges remain, the outlook for the rest of the year is positive. The market is supported by strong demand, stable interest rates, and the potential for policy adjustments. Investors and buyers can find attractive opportunities in this dynamic market, particularly in prime locations and the rental sector.

Data Sources:

  • Confidencial Imobiliario
  • Instituto Nacional de Estatistica (INE)
  • APEMIP
  • Idealista

Disclaimer: This report is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is essential to conduct thorough due diligence before making any investment decisions.

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